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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51700204060801001208597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.6
17.518.1
Auto10.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
blue by 5.7
37.22.6
30.433.0
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End8.1
Second
7660
#24
24.70.6
22.122.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.5
End8.7
blue by 4.2
28.92.6
25.728.3
Auto11.4
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Third
9183
#33
13.90.6
11.011.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End6.5
red by 2.2
8300
#30
11.82.6
7.39.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned