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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7272606570758085909494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
47.8
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 18.8
28.9
Auto11.4
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Second
9210
#16
17.0
Auto6.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
blue by 9.9
7166
#12
27.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
Third
7221
#36
11.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 4.9
8373
#20
16.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned