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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6868606570758085906695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#13
31.10.2
32.132.3
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End5.8
red by 4.1
7166
#12
27.03.2
23.927.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
Second
1502
#23
17.90.2
19.820.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.9
blue by 8.0
9312
#19
25.82.5
19.321.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2
Third
8300
#30
11.80.2
12.012.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End7.8
blue by 12.2
4453
#35
24.02.7
20.923.6
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed