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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11584406010014016018013491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.6
37.839.5
Auto13.2
Teleop19.9
End7.8
blue by 0.2
41.20.7
41.542.2
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.5
Second
37.21.6
37.238.8
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End8.1
red by 8.5
3322
#17
28.70.7
25.926.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End5.2
Third
1023
#10
33.51.9
28.930.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.4
End7.6
red by 16.4
9210
#16
17.00.8
14.915.7
Auto6.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed