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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910120408012014056117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.4
29.529.1
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End7.5
blue by 13.4
43.11.8
40.742.5
Auto16.3
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Second
8522
#32
19.90.3
20.219.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End6.3
blue by 9.1
28.92.0
27.529.5
Auto11.4
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Third
5559
#38
10.10.4
10.810.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
blue by 14.0
6570
#26
24.12.2
21.323.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned