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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111482040608010012014016010148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.4
42.242.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.5
red by 17.2
4453
#35
24.00.4
23.623.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Second
1023
#10
33.50.5
30.831.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.4
End7.6
red by 16.3
6556
#22
17.20.4
17.617.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End8.5
Third
5084
#34
24.00.4
22.823.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End6.8
red by 12.2
8300
#30
11.80.4
12.211.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned