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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777750607080901001105158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#12
27.02.5
27.124.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
blue by 4.1
2611
#13
31.11.1
32.331.2
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End5.8
Second
8423
#31
23.12.1
25.022.9
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End7.0
red by 1.4
5090
#18
21.71.2
22.521.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Third
1502
#23
17.92.1
20.017.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.9
red by 1.6
8373
#20
16.21.2
17.416.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed