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Red22
496113.4
523519.6
83011.4
Blue69
353432.5
551715.0
556213.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617202040801001201401602269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5235
#14
19.64.0
17.613.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End7.3
blue by 12.9
3534
#29
32.52.2
30.228.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End6.9
Second
4961
#33
13.44.0
18.414.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End0.8
blue by 1.5
5517
#21
15.02.2
20.117.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End6.2
Third
830
#38
11.44.0
22.418.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End4.0
blue by 1.9
5562
#18
13.42.2
16.113.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsMissed