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Red39
586017.5
560331.6
4538.4
Blue107
511432.6
260416.6
356822.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6372020408010012014016039107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.62.3
21.619.3
Auto10.9
Teleop13.3
End7.4
blue by 1.0
5114
#16
32.60.6
30.029.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End9.9
Second
5860
#31
17.52.3
20.117.8
Auto6.2
Teleop3.9
End7.4
blue by 5.3
3568
#20
22.70.6
18.618.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End7.2
Third
453
#39
8.42.3
18.215.8
Auto0.5
Teleop4.5
End3.3
blue by 8.2
2604
#15
16.60.6
18.017.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed