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Red57
518311.5
24716.3
260416.6
Blue41
504613.9
309819.3
83011.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434902060805741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2604
#15
16.61.2
15.616.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
blue by 2.7
3098
#27
19.30.7
18.317.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Second
247
#17
16.31.2
15.116.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End6.1
red by 2.3
5046
#37
13.90.7
14.613.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
Third
5183
#34
11.51.2
10.311.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
red by 0.1
830
#38
11.40.7
12.111.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed17%Activation oddsMissed