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Red123
32220.1
171844.5
168442.5
Blue88
923719.6
353432.5
511432.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11686406010014016012388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.4
44.545.8
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End7.2
red by 11.9
5114
#16
32.60.3
32.332.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End9.9
Second
42.51.4
41.342.6
Auto12.7
Teleop23.0
End6.8
red by 10.0
3534
#29
32.50.3
32.532.8
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End6.9
Third
322
#13
20.11.2
18.920.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End8.9
red by 0.4
9237
#30
19.60.3
19.319.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsEarned