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Red45
523519.6
842627.7
60859.8
Blue71
776216.7
356822.7
560331.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628020401001204571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#19
27.71.5
27.526.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 4.0
31.60.5
32.431.9
Auto10.9
Teleop13.3
End7.4
Second
5235
#14
19.61.5
21.319.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End7.3
blue by 3.2
3568
#20
22.70.5
23.222.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End7.2
Third
6085
#32
9.81.5
11.39.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End5.6
blue by 6.9
7762
#23
16.70.6
17.316.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned