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Red108
586017.5
556133.7
842627.7
Blue88
924213.6
171844.5
477938.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78107406010012014016018010888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.6
33.033.6
Auto10.7
Teleop14.2
End8.8
blue by 10.8
44.50.2
44.744.5
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End7.2
Second
8426
#19
27.70.6
27.027.6
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 10.4
38.10.2
38.238.1
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End5.2
Third
5860
#31
17.50.6
16.817.4
Auto6.2
Teleop3.9
End7.4
red by 3.9
9242
#24
13.60.2
13.813.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End8.0