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Red107
6828.7
49446.2
309819.3
Blue117
32220.1
168442.5
366726.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989560708090110120130107117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
46.20.2
45.445.6
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End6.9
red by 3.7
42.50.4
42.542.9
Auto12.7
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Second
68
#7
28.70.2
27.928.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End7.3
red by 1.8
3667
#11
26.90.4
26.927.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8
Third
3098
#27
19.30.2
18.518.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 0.8
322
#13
20.10.4
20.120.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End8.9