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Red107
586017.5
556133.7
842627.7
Blue0
609820.9
213721.4
31430.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827802040601001201401070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.1
32.933.0
Auto10.7
Teleop14.2
End8.8
red by 3.1
314
#10DQ
30.60.2
30.830.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End7.9
Second
8426
#19
27.70.1
26.827.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End5.7
red by 6.2
2137
#22DQ
21.40.2
21.621.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Third
5860
#31
17.50.1
16.616.8
Auto6.2
Teleop3.9
End7.4
blue by 3.4
6098
#12DQ
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End5.1