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Red74
515017.1
560331.6
353432.5
Blue117
924213.6
171844.5
477938.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84106406012014016018074117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#29
32.50.2
32.732.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End6.9
blue by 12.0
44.50.1
44.544.7
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End7.2
Second
31.60.2
31.831.6
Auto10.9
Teleop13.3
End7.4
blue by 6.4
38.10.1
38.138.2
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End5.2
Third
5150
#28
17.10.2
17.317.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End8.9
red by 3.6
9242
#24
13.60.1
13.613.8
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End8.0