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Red108
6828.7
49446.2
309819.3
Blue97
561225.6
511432.6
356822.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9785406012014010897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
46.20.4
44.645.0
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End6.9
red by 13.6
5114
#16
32.60.2
32.532.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End9.9
Second
68
#7
28.70.4
27.127.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End7.3
red by 3.1
25.60.2
25.625.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End8.3
Third
3098
#27
19.30.4
17.718.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 3.5
3568
#20
22.70.2
22.723.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End7.2