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Red71
260416.6
516648.7
523519.6
Blue91
842627.7
556133.7
586017.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937740601001201407191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.3
48.948.6
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End9.6
red by 15.0
33.70.3
32.132.4
Auto10.7
Teleop14.2
End8.8
Second
5235
#14
19.60.3
19.819.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End7.3
blue by 8.1
8426
#19
27.70.3
26.026.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
2604
#15
16.60.3
16.816.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
blue by 0.8
5860
#31
17.50.3
15.816.1
Auto6.2
Teleop3.9
End7.4