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Red29
924213.6
171844.5
477938.1
Blue85
32220.1
168442.5
366726.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109944060801001201401602985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.6
45.844.3
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End7.2
red by 1.9
42.50.2
42.642.4
Auto12.7
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Second
38.11.6
39.437.8
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End5.2
red by 11.1
3667
#11
26.90.2
27.026.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8
Third
9242
#24
13.61.6
14.913.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End8.0
blue by 6.5
322
#13
20.10.2
20.219.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End8.9