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Red90
260416.6
516648.7
523519.6
Blue113
924213.6
171844.5
477938.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88104608012014016090113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.1
48.648.7
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End9.6
red by 4.2
44.50.3
44.344.5
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End7.2
Second
5235
#14
19.60.1
19.519.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End7.3
blue by 18.5
38.10.3
37.838.1
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End5.2
Third
2604
#15
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
red by 3.1
9242
#24
13.60.3
13.313.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End8.0