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Red76
515017.1
560331.6
353432.5
Blue147
6828.7
49446.2
309819.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8698608012014076147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#29
32.50.1
32.832.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End6.9
blue by 13.7
494
#4
46.20.4
45.045.4
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End6.9
Second
31.60.1
31.931.8
Auto10.9
Teleop13.3
End7.4
red by 2.9
68
#7
28.70.4
27.527.9
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End7.3
Third
5150
#28
17.10.2
17.517.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End8.9
blue by 2.2
3098
#27
19.30.4
18.118.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.7