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Red163
921527.2
439161.9
207563.0
Blue118
496753.1
609056.3
611426.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156143100120180200220163118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.4
62.162.5
Auto17.2
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 6.7
56.30.4
56.155.8
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
Second
61.90.4
61.061.4
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 8.9
53.10.4
52.952.5
Auto15.7
Teleop29.8
End7.7
Third
9215
#18
27.20.4
26.226.6
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
red by 0.3
6114
#19
26.90.4
26.726.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.5