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Red171
921527.2
439161.9
207563.0
Blue160
496753.1
609056.3
611426.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158141100120180200220171160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.6
62.563.0
Auto17.2
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 6.7
56.30.6
55.856.3
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
Second
61.90.6
61.461.9
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 8.9
53.10.6
52.553.1
Auto15.7
Teleop29.8
End7.7
Third
9215
#18
27.20.6
26.627.2
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
red by 0.3
6114
#19
26.90.6
26.326.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.5