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Red84
922221.4
860845.4
609722.1
Blue62
812635.9
791114.0
839721.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005902040801201408462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.3
45.144.8
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 9.4
35.90.1
31.331.4
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Second
6097
#23
22.10.3
17.617.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End4.0
red by 0.6
8397
#29
21.50.1
17.517.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End5.4
Third
9222
#32
21.40.3
26.125.8
Auto9.2
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 7.4
7911
#39
14.00.1
11.411.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed