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Red128
277135.5
505626.4
609056.3
Blue74
345830.0
921527.2
780813.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10659020408012014016012874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.32.3
47.349.6
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
red by 26.4
3458
#27
30.00.8
21.622.5
Auto11.2
Teleop14.3
End4.6
Second
35.52.3
29.331.6
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
red by 8.4
9215
#18
27.20.8
25.826.7
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
Third
5056
#16
26.42.3
16.819.1
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End5.3
red by 13.1
7808
#38
13.20.8
14.114.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed