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Red105
760213.8
439161.9
400435.2
Blue84
721018.4
387535.1
910628.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102722040608012014016018010584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.9
54.154.9
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 26.8
3875
#20
35.10.9
30.831.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End5.6
Second
35.20.9
27.128.0
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End8.3
red by 6.4
9106
#21
28.80.9
24.625.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End8.4
Third
7602
#37
13.80.9
10.611.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End4.4
blue by 4.6
7210
#30
18.40.9
15.516.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned