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Red57
780920.3
240529.9
922813.2
Blue84
781023.4
765829.4
920616.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6769506080905784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#24
29.90.4
28.528.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End8.1
red by 0.5
7658
#14
29.41.0
28.329.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End9.4
Second
7809
#13
20.30.4
22.422.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End5.1
blue by 3.1
7810
#22
23.41.0
22.823.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.7
Third
9228
#34
13.20.4
12.011.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End4.8
blue by 3.0
9206
#28
16.21.0
13.314.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned