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Red77
781819.6
277135.5
921527.2
Blue125
812635.9
354647.4
562323.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831135010015020077125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.3
35.134.7
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
blue by 11.9
47.41.2
45.246.4
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
9215
#18
27.20.3
26.926.6
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
blue by 8.8
35.91.2
34.435.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Third
7818
#31
19.60.3
19.919.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End5.6
blue by 4.0
5623
#10
23.61.2
22.423.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned