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Red74
910628.8
600523.5
920616.2
Blue102
21631.7
876721.2
860845.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661115010015074102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9106
#21
28.80.5
28.028.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End8.4
blue by 16.5
45.40.1
44.444.3
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Second
6005
#11
23.50.5
23.423.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End9.1
blue by 8.3
216
#12
31.70.1
32.532.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End6.6
Third
9206
#28
16.20.5
15.716.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End5.0
blue by 5.1
8767
#25
21.20.1
21.321.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed