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Red157
921527.2
439161.9
207563.0
Blue144
496753.1
609056.3
611426.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15913980100120180200220157144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.1
62.862.9
Auto17.2
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 6.7
56.30.1
55.355.4
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
Second
61.90.1
61.761.8
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 8.9
53.10.1
52.152.2
Auto15.7
Teleop29.8
End7.7
Third
9215
#18
27.20.1
27.027.1
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
red by 0.3
6114
#19
26.90.1
25.926.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.5