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Red129
345830.0
860845.4
354647.4
Blue102
85829.2
277135.5
400435.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133103406080120160180200129102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.1
46.947.0
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 11.9
35.50.1
35.635.5
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
Second
45.40.1
44.944.9
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 10.2
35.20.1
35.335.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End8.3
Third
3458
#27
30.00.1
29.429.5
Auto11.2
Teleop14.3
End4.6
red by 0.7
858
#15
29.20.1
29.329.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End5.9