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Red163
496753.1
609056.3
611426.9
Blue147
354647.4
860845.4
345830.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512780100120160180200220163147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.30.4
55.455.9
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
red by 8.9
47.40.5
47.047.4
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
53.10.4
52.252.6
Auto15.7
Teleop29.8
End7.7
red by 7.7
45.40.5
44.945.4
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Third
6114
#19
26.90.4
26.026.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.5
blue by 3.1
3458
#27
30.00.5
29.530.0
Auto11.2
Teleop14.3
End4.6