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Red136
87289.5
150649.4
546048.2
Blue111
366836.6
7043.7
528219.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111046080120140160136111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.7
48.048.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.0
End9.4
red by 5.7
70
#3
43.70.2
43.343.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End8.8
Second
48.20.7
46.847.5
Auto13.7
Teleop27.4
End7.1
red by 11.6
36.60.2
36.236.4
Auto12.5
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Third
8728
#35
9.50.7
8.18.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End3.4
blue by 9.7
5282
#22
19.20.2
18.819.0
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End5.0