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Red105
89418.2
566033.9
3341.4
Blue113
366836.6
7043.7
528219.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991046080120140160105113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End10.0
blue by 2.3
70
#3
43.70.4
43.043.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End8.8
Second
5660
#16
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.9
End7.0
blue by 2.7
36.60.4
35.836.2
Auto12.5
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Third
894
#37
18.20.0
18.118.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End6.0
blue by 1.0
5282
#22
19.20.4
18.418.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End5.0