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Red77
87289.5
779028.2
519317.4
Blue86
778412.8
366836.6
553817.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4668204060801007786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#30
28.22.5
25.928.4
Auto11.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
blue by 8.4
36.61.6
33.935.5
Auto12.5
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Second
5193
#24
17.42.3
15.117.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End7.4
blue by 0.2
5538
#20
17.71.5
16.017.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End6.5
Third
8728
#35
9.52.3
5.37.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End3.4
blue by 3.4
7784
#39
12.81.5
11.412.8
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsEarned