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Red174
283240.9
332237.5
477943.2
Blue158
50344.3
366846.5
721146.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121148050100200250174158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#17
43.21.2
41.542.6
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End5.1
blue by 3.3
46.50.5
46.046.5
Auto12.2
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Second
2832
#14
40.91.2
39.140.2
Auto10.5
Teleop23.0
End7.2
blue by 5.6
7211
#16
46.50.5
46.046.5
Auto13.7
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Third
3322
#10
37.51.2
35.736.9
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End7.1
blue by 6.8
503
#19
44.30.5
43.844.3
Auto13.3
Teleop21.5
End9.8