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Red151
749130.7
317539.3
3360.4
Blue147
999233.0
150660.2
705638.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712550100150200151147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.40.5
59.059.6
Auto19.4
Teleop33.2
End6.9
red by 0.2
60.20.3
60.560.8
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End9.3
Second
39.30.5
37.938.5
Auto15.6
Teleop16.7
End7.7
red by 1.2
7056
#26
38.10.3
38.338.7
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End8.0
Third
7491
#28
30.70.5
29.429.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End9.1
blue by 2.3
9992
#13
33.00.6
33.534.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End7.1