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Red158
590756.9
6833.4
2740.5
Blue147
50344.3
366846.5
721146.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133142050100200250300158147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.3
54.955.2
Auto15.3
Teleop31.6
End8.8
red by 10.4
46.50.3
44.945.3
Auto12.2
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Second
27
#6
40.50.3
38.538.8
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End8.6
blue by 6.0
7211
#16
46.50.3
44.945.3
Auto13.7
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Third
68
#21
33.40.3
31.431.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End7.8
blue by 10.9
503
#19
44.30.3
42.843.1
Auto13.3
Teleop21.5
End9.8