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Red131
30248.6
171127.7
24553.1
Blue148
477943.2
332237.5
283240.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139119050100150200131148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
53.10.1
52.552.6
Auto16.3
Teleop27.7
End7.6
red by 9.9
4779
#17
43.20.7
40.441.1
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End5.1
Second
302
#24
48.60.1
48.148.1
Auto12.8
Teleop29.3
End6.2
red by 7.8
2832
#14
40.90.7
38.038.7
Auto10.5
Teleop23.0
End7.2
Third
1711
#23
27.70.1
27.227.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.5
blue by 9.8
3322
#10
37.50.7
34.735.3
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End7.1