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Red135
705638.1
150660.2
999233.0
Blue126
776947.9
364147.3
170142.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191550200300400500600135126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.1
60.160.2
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End9.3
red by 12.3
47.90.4
49.649.3
Auto10.7
Teleop27.1
End8.8
Second
7056
#26
38.10.1
38.038.1
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End8.0
blue by 9.2
3641
#18
47.30.4
49.048.6
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End8.5
Third
9992
#13
33.00.2
32.933.1
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End7.1
blue by 9.1
1701
#22
42.10.4
43.843.4
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End7.6