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Red127
213733.0
365639.5
353640.7
Blue169
50344.3
366846.5
721146.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116146050100200250300127169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#12
40.70.3
40.440.7
Auto12.8
Teleop21.2
End6.5
blue by 5.8
46.50.7
45.346.0
Auto12.2
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Second
3656
#11
39.50.3
39.239.5
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End7.9
blue by 7.0
7211
#16
46.50.7
45.346.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Third
2137
#15
33.00.3
32.633.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End6.2
blue by 11.3
503
#19
44.30.7
43.143.8
Auto13.3
Teleop21.5
End9.8