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Red142
30248.6
171127.7
24553.1
Blue85
776947.9
364147.3
170142.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134152020030040050060070080014285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
53.10.1
52.652.7
Auto16.3
Teleop27.7
End7.6
red by 5.2
47.91.4
49.347.9
Auto10.7
Teleop27.1
End8.8
Second
302
#24
48.60.1
48.148.2
Auto12.8
Teleop29.3
End6.2
red by 1.3
3641
#18
47.31.4
48.647.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End8.5
Third
1711
#23
27.70.1
27.327.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.5
blue by 14.3
1701
#22
42.11.4
43.442.1
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End7.6