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Red125
612023.4
413043.2
370729.6
Blue144
364145.9
283435.7
566043.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86139050200250300125144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#32
43.22.3
39.541.8
Auto11.1
Teleop22.8
End9.0
blue by 2.7
3641
#19
45.90.2
46.045.9
Auto10.9
Teleop26.4
End7.6
Second
3707
#25
29.62.3
26.528.8
Auto4.6
Teleop17.1
End8.0
blue by 13.8
5660
#10
43.40.2
45.044.8
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Third
6120
#26
23.42.3
19.621.9
Auto6.9
Teleop12.6
End4.2
blue by 12.3
2834
#28
35.70.2
33.733.5
Auto13.9
Teleop15.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsMissed