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Red101
882610.1
721147.0
999829.2
Blue71
584331.1
608135.9
817931.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59120010015020025030035010171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.5
43.745.2
Auto14.0
Teleop23.4
End9.0
red by 11.1
6081
#30
35.92.3
40.137.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Second
29.22.6
26.228.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End7.9
blue by 2.6
8179
#23
31.72.3
35.132.8
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End5.3
Third
8826
#34
10.11.5
8.09.5
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 21.1
5843
#29
31.12.3
30.227.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed