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Red108
353637.9
353943.6
353842.4
Blue158
998422.6
5167.4
233753.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128137050100200250300350400108158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#20
43.60.8
44.643.8
Auto8.1
Teleop26.3
End7.4
blue by 23.8
51
#1
67.41.7
64.466.1
Auto15.4
Teleop40.7
End9.7
Second
3538
#12
42.40.8
38.637.8
Auto10.7
Teleop25.0
End7.0
blue by 11.5
53.91.7
50.752.4
Auto12.6
Teleop30.6
End9.7
Third
3536
#18
37.90.8
37.036.2
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End5.2
red by 15.3
9984
#22
22.62.8
18.521.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned