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Red152
49457.7
586014.8
546060.5
Blue95
214526.6
842643.4
543637.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611005020025015295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.7
58.258.9
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End9.4
red by 17.2
8426
#16
43.40.9
43.742.8
Auto14.3
Teleop21.3
End7.3
Second
494
#17
57.70.7
57.057.7
Auto15.9
Teleop31.1
End9.0
red by 20.5
5436
#24
37.20.9
38.938.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.9
End5.7
Third
5860
#27
14.80.7
16.517.2
Auto6.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
blue by 11.8
2145
#21
26.60.9
25.224.4
Auto11.8
Teleop8.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned