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Red158
5167.4
213736.6
353637.9
Blue97
817931.7
353439.8
779028.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15410405020025015897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
67.41.4
66.167.5
Auto15.4
Teleop40.7
End9.7
red by 27.6
3534
#15
39.80.4
41.240.8
Auto14.1
Teleop20.0
End6.4
Second
3536
#18
37.91.4
36.237.6
Auto11.0
Teleop21.9
End5.2
red by 6.2
8179
#23
31.70.4
32.832.4
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End5.3
Third
2137
#11
36.61.4
34.035.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End7.9
red by 8.5
7790
#33
28.20.4
29.529.1
Auto8.0
Teleop13.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned