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Red134
150663.1
543637.2
283435.7
Blue155
721147.0
546060.5
436253.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140167050100200250300134155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.10.2
61.060.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.1
End10.7
red by 2.5
60.50.1
58.959.0
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End9.4
Second
5436
#24
37.20.2
38.037.9
Auto9.3
Teleop21.9
End5.7
blue by 16.0
4362
#13
53.20.1
53.053.2
Auto14.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
Third
2834
#28
35.70.2
33.533.3
Auto13.9
Teleop15.5
End6.7
blue by 11.3
47.00.1
45.245.3
Auto14.0
Teleop23.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned