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Red112
6761.6
998422.6
499819.1
Blue106
546060.5
882610.1
413043.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111250200300400500112106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#6
61.60.2
65.665.3
Auto16.1
Teleop35.8
End7.7
red by 1.1
60.50.7
61.360.6
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End9.4
Second
9984
#22
22.60.4
22.622.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End6.3
blue by 20.6
4130
#32
43.20.7
44.744.0
Auto11.1
Teleop22.8
End9.0
Third
4998
#36
19.10.2
27.427.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End3.9
red by 9.0
8826
#34
10.10.7
10.39.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned