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Red147
353439.8
436253.2
353943.6
Blue75
566043.4
608135.9
361824.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16412905010015020025030014775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#13
53.20.6
61.360.7
Auto14.5
Teleop29.6
End7.4
red by 9.8
5660
#10
43.43.4
47.043.7
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Second
3539
#20
43.60.6
51.150.5
Auto8.1
Teleop26.3
End7.4
red by 7.7
6081
#30
35.93.4
46.142.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Third
3534
#15
39.80.6
40.339.8
Auto14.1
Teleop20.0
End6.4
red by 15.3
3618
#31
24.63.4
34.931.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed